Hurricane Matthew

Forecast Advisory 35



833
WTNT25 KNHC 062040
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC THU OCT 06 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 65.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 65.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 65.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.9N 65.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.6N 65.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.0N 64.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.5N 64.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.4N 65.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.4N 66.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.4N 67.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 65.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




872
WTNT24 KNHC 062051
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
2100 UTC THU OCT 06 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER...SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER TO SURF CITY...NORTH CAROLINA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND
IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 78.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 78.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 78.3W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.6N 79.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.6N 81.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.2N 81.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.1N 80.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 78.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA