Hurricane Matthew
Forecast Advisory 37
137
WTNT25 KNHC 070835
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 65.2W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 65.2W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 65.2W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.0N 65.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.1N 65.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.2N 64.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 65.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 27.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 65.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
242
WTNT24 KNHC 070849
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTH TO BOCA RATON HAS
BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF BOCA RATON...AS WELL AS
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE
* JUPITER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY
* BOCA RATON TO JUPITER INLET
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO ANCLOTE RIVER
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IN THE CAROLINAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS
MORNING.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 80.0W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 80.0W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 79.7W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.6N 80.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.6N 79.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N 77.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 80.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
