Hurricane Matthew
Forecast Advisory 39
487
WTNT25 KNHC 072034
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 65.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 185 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 65.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 65.3W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.2N 65.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 25.4N 64.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.1N 64.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.5N 65.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 27.4N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.7N 66.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.6N 66.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 65.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
021
WTNT24 KNHC 072045
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE.
THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE
FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO SURF CITY
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 80.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 80.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 80.7W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.7N 80.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.8N 76.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N 74.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 26.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 80.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
