Hurricane Matthew

Forecast Advisory 43

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627
WTNT25 KNHC 082035
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 195 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 65.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.2N 65.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N 65.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.7N 65.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N 65.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 66.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 70SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.4N 65.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.9N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 65.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





499
WTNT24 KNHC 082053
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SOUTH OF SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 78.2W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 78.2W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 79.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 34.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 200SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N 71.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 210SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 33.0N 70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...300NE 0SE 60SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 78.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA