Hurricane Matthew

Forecast Advisory 45

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341
WTNT25 KNHC 090847
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0900 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 65.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 65.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 65.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 65.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.9N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.9N 65.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 65.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 66.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 65.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





981
WTNT24 KNHC 090850
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0900 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF CAPE
FEAR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM CAPE FEAR TO
SURF CITY HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 75.1W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 110SW 30NW.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE 150SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 270SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 75.1W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 75.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 35.2N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 35.4N 70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.9N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 190SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N 62.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 75.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART