Hurricane Nicole
Forecast Advisory 3
391
WTNT24 KNHC 050236
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0300 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WATCHES FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET...AND FOR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE...HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS. THE
HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA
COUNTY LINE. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
GOLDEN BEACH HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ADDED FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO OCEAN
REEF...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HAITI
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 74.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 74.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 74.3W
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.7N 74.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.3N 76.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N 77.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.7N 79.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.3N 80.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 33.2N 78.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 37.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 74.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
252
WTNT25 KNHC 050244
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0300 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 61.3W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 61.3W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 61.2W
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.1N 62.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.5N 63.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.7N 64.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.5N 64.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.3N 63.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 28.3N 62.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 30.0N 62.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 61.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
