Hurricane Nicole
Forecast Advisory 5
001
WTNT25 KNHC 051431
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 62.8W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 62.8W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 62.5W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 63.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.3N 64.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.1N 65.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.3N 64.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.3N 63.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 29.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 62.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
926
WTNT24 KNHC 051448
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM SEBASTIAN
INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY
* NORTH OF THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 75.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 125 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 75.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 74.9W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.1N 76.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.8N 77.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.6N 79.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.2N 80.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 32.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 32.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 75.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
