Hurricane Nicole
Forecast Advisory 9
953
WTNT25 KNHC 061432
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 64.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 64.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 64.7W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.5N 65.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.3N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.9N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 27.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 64.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
680
WTNT24 KNHC 061453
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO EDISTO
BEACH...SOUTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY...
SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND
NEW PROVIDENCE
* NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO GOLDEN BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD
* FLORIDA BAY
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND
IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 77.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 77.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 77.4W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.4N 79.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.3N 80.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.2N 81.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.7N 80.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 30.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 77.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
