Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 10

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170
WTNT25 KNHC 061743
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
1800 UTC THU OCT 06 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 65.0W AT 06/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 65.0W AT 06/1800Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 64.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.7N 65.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.9N 65.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.3N 64.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.9N 64.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 27.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 65.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

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FORECASTER PASCH