Hurricane Nicole
Forecast Advisory 16
758
WTNT25 KNHC 080249
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 65.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 65.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 65.3W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.5N 65.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.7N 64.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.8N 65.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.7N 65.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 33.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 65.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
148
WTNT24 KNHC 080258
TCMAT4
HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
NORTH OF FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH...FLORIDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SURF CITY
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* NORTH OF FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 80.5W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 80.5W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 80.6W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N 79.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.6N 77.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.9N 75.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 27.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 26.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 80.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
