Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 18



785
WTNT25 KNHC 081438
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 65.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 190 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 65.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 65.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.6N 65.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.2N 65.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.8N 65.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.3N 66.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 33.4N 64.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 65.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




866
WTNT24 KNHC 081456
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SURF CITY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 79.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 80SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 79.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 79.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.6N 78.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 75SE 75SW 40NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 200SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...300NE 0SE 0SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 79.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA