Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 22

---

569
WTNT25 KNHC 091451
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
1500 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 65.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 65.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 65.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N 65.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N 65.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.1N 65.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.0N 65.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.6N 65.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.8N 64.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 34.9N 59.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





003
WTNT24 KNHC 091452
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1500 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 73.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE 200SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 260SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 73.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 74.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.3N 71.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 220SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 35.7N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 37.0N 64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 73.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN