Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 32

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260
WTNT25 KNHC 120231
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0300 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 66.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 210SE 180SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 66.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.2N 66.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.6N 66.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 65.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.9N 63.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 38.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 210SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 40.5N 52.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N 51.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 66.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN