Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 33

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779
WTNT25 KNHC 120835
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0900 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 67.0W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 210SE 300SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 67.0W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 66.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 28.9N 67.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.6N 66.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.6N 64.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N 61.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 39.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 210SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 40.0N 51.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 40.0N 50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 67.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA