Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 34

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098
WTNT25 KNHC 121441
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
1500 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 66.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 210SE 330SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 66.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 66.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 66.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 65.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.7N 63.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.8N 59.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.1N 53.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 39.2N 50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.2N 50.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 66.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN