Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 35



351
WTNT25 KNHC 122031
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 66.6W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 210SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 66.6W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 66.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.5N 66.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.7N 64.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 34.6N 61.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.6N 57.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.8N 51.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 300SW 420NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 38.8N 50.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 40.0N 49.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 66.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN