Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 41

---

106
WTNT25 KNHC 140833
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0900 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 59.2W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 59.2W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.5N 56.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.7N 52.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.5N 50.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.0N 48.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 240NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 360SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.0N 46.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...360NE 320SE 360SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 42.5N 42.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 48.0N 38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 59.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA