Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 43



615
WTNT25 KNHC 142035
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 55.7W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 55.7W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 56.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.5N 52.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.3N 50.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.5N 48.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 310NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 38.7N 47.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 300SW 390NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 40.5N 45.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...390NE 300SE 360SW 330NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 47.0N 40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 53.0N 36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N 55.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN