Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 47

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765
WTNT25 KNHC 152033
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 49.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT.......180NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......270NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 520SE 600SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 49.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 49.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.8N 46.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.6N 45.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 42.5N 43.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 50.0N 38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 180SW 90NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 330SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 60.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N 49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

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FORECASTER BEVEN