Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 48

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 160233
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0300 UTC SUN OCT 16 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 48.3W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT.......360NE 330SE 300SW 420NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 660SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 48.3W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 48.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.4N 47.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 390NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.9N 46.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.0N 44.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.8N 42.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT...360NE 330SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.7N 36.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 360SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 63.0N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N 48.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

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FORECASTER BERG