Hurricane Nicole

Forecast Advisory 52

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391
WTNT25 KNHC 170241
TCMAT5

HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0300 UTC MON OCT 17 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 45.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 780SE 960SW 720NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 45.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.1N 45.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.6N 44.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 330SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 44.3N 41.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 330SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 48.9N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT...180NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...390NE 420SE 360SW 390NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.6N 37.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 62.2N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...330NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N 45.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

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FORECASTER BERG