Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 8

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193
WTNT21 KNHC 222045
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
2100 UTC TUE NOV 22 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SAN ANDRES ISLAND.

THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER TO SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NARGANA TO COLON
* SAN ANDRES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF COLON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER
* BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...USUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA OR COSTA RICA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PROVIDENCIA
ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 79.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 79.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 79.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 10.6N 80.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 10.9N 81.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.0N 82.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.0N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.4N 88.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 9.8N 91.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 9.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 79.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE