Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 9



306
WTNT21 KNHC 230244
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
0300 UTC WED NOV 23 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM
BLUEFIELDS SOUTH TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER.

THE GOVERNMENT OF COSTA RICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM
LIMON NORTHWARD TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER.

THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND
A HURRICANE WATCH NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI
* THE COAST OF COSTA RICA SOUTH OF LIMON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA
BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI
* THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM NARGANA TO COLON
* SAN ANDRES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF PANAMA WEST OF COLON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...USUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PROVIDENCIA
ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 79.8W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 79.8W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 79.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.8N 80.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 11.1N 81.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 11.2N 83.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 11.1N 84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 10.5N 89.5W...OVER THE PACIFIC
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 10.0N 93.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 10.0N 97.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 79.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN