Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 14

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265
WTNT21 KNHC 240831
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
0900 UTC THU NOV 24 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SAN ANDRES ISLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* SOUTH OF LIMON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OTTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 82.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 82.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 82.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.1N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.6N 86.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.2N 88.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 9.8N 90.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 9.5N 96.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 10.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 11.5N 104.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 82.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN