Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 15



576
WTNT21 KNHC 241433
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
1500 UTC THU NOV 24 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* SOUTH OF LIMON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OTTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 83.4W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 83.4W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 82.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.8N 84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.3N 87.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 9.8N 89.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 9.5N 92.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 9.0N 98.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 10.0N 102.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 11.5N 104.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 83.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA