Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 16

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036
WTNT21 KNHC 242046
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
2100 UTC THU NOV 24 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA HAVE DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THOSE COUNTRIES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OTTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 84.3W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 84.3W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 83.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.7N 86.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.2N 88.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 9.8N 91.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 9.5N 93.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 9.4N 100.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 10.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 12.1N 105.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 84.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART