Tropical Storm Bret

Forecast Advisory 5



534
WTNT22 KNHC 192040
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017
2100 UTC MON JUN 19 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD
* TOBAGO
* GRENADA
* VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA INCLUDING ISLA DE MARGARITA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 59.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 59.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 58.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 10.1N 62.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.3N 65.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.2N 68.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 59.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




008
WTNT23 KNHC 192046
TCMAT3

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017
2100 UTC MON JUN 19 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO HIGH ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. GULF COAST FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS
COAST TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 88.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 88.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 88.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.0N 89.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.2N 90.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.9N 91.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.7N 92.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 32.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 35.5N 90.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 88.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




386
WTNT22 KNHC 192052 CCA
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017
2100 UTC MON JUN 19 2017

CORRECTED TO ADD 34 KT WIND RADII AT 24 HOUR PERIOD

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD
* TOBAGO
* GRENADA
* VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA INCLUDING ISLA DE MARGARITA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 59.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 59.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 58.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 10.1N 62.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.3N 65.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.2N 68.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 59.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA