Tropical Storm Bret
Forecast Advisory 7
805
WTNT23 KNHC 200850
TCMAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017
0900 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA
TO INTRACOASTAL CITY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMERON TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF CAMERON TO HIGH ISLAND
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. GULF COAST FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS
COAST TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 90.1W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 90.1W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 89.9W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 25.7N 91.0W...SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.6N 92.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.5N 93.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...170NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 28.9N 93.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.5N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 36.5N 88.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 90.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
279
WTNT22 KNHC 200852
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017
0900 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...AND GRENADA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA INCLUDING ISLA DE MARGARITA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 62.9W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 62.9W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 62.1W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.5N 65.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.4N 68.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.3N 72.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.6N 76.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 62.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
