Tropical Storm Bret
Forecast Advisory 8
580
WTNT22 KNHC 201432
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017
1500 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF VENEZUELA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VENEZUELA ISLA DE MARGARITA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE
* CURACAO
* ARUBA
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 64.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 64.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 63.6W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.4N 67.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.2N 70.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.4N 79.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 64.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
405
WTNT23 KNHC 201433
TCMAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017
1500 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF HIGH ISLAND TO SAN
LUIS PASS TEXAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HIGH ISLAND TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF HIGH ISLAND TO SAN LUIS PASS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. GULF COAST FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS
COAST TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 90.5W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 90.5W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 90.6W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.7N 91.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.4N 92.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.6N 93.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.1N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...80NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.0N 92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 37.5N 84.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 90.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
