Tropical Storm Emily

Forecast Advisory 1



655
WTNT21 KNHC 310948
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017
1000 UTC MON JUL 31 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM THE ANCLOTE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO ENGLEWOOD FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 83.5W AT 31/1000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 83.5W AT 31/1000Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 84.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.7N 82.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.3N 80.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.8N 78.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.6N 76.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 83.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN