Tropical Storm Emily

Forecast Advisory 4

---

985
WTNT21 KNHC 312042
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017
2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 81.7W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 81.7W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 82.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.4N 80.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.9N 78.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.4N 76.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 35.6N 68.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 38.1N 61.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 81.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART