Tropical Storm Emily

Forecast Advisory 5

---

797
WTNT21 KNHC 010242
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 81.0W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 81.0W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 81.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.7N 79.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.4N 77.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.1N 74.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.7N 71.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.6N 65.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 38.5N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 81.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG