Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 1

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065
WTNT23 KNHC 130243
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
0300 UTC SUN AUG 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 70.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 70.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 69.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 27.0N 71.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N 71.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 30.7N 72.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.2N 71.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.2N 66.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 41.5N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 45.5N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN