Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 5

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973
WTNT23 KNHC 140232
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
0300 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 71.9W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 71.9W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 71.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N 72.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.6N 72.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 33.6N 71.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 41.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 70SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 150SE 90SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 48.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE