Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 7



764
WTNT23 KNHC 141436
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
1500 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 72.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 72.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 72.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.5N 72.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 33.4N 71.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.8N 68.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.4N 64.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 43.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 90SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 50.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY