Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 8

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184
WTNT23 KNHC 142046
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
2100 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 72.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 72.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 72.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.6N 72.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.3N 71.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.6N 69.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 38.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 44.5N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 120SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 52.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 72.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN