Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 16

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234
WTNT23 KNHC 162032
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
2100 UTC WED AUG 16 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 62.4W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 27 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 80SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 62.4W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 64.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.7N 56.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 110SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 44.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 35SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 48.3N 40.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE 120SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 51.6N 35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 54.3N 32.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N 62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

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FORECASTER BERG