Hurricane Gert

Forecast Advisory 17



655
WTNT23 KNHC 170230
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017
0300 UTC THU AUG 17 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.1N 58.4W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 32 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 80SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.1N 58.4W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 60.3W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 42.6N 52.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 110SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 46.5N 43.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 50.5N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 52.5N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 53.5N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...MERGED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.1N 58.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH