Hurricane Harvey

Forecast Advisory 14

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491
WTNT24 KNHC 240236
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT MANSFIELD TO HIGH ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO SAN LUIS PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOCA DE CATAN MEXICO TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
* NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS TO HIGH ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 92.6W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 92.6W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 92.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.8N 93.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.1N 94.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.4N 95.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.6N 96.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.5N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 28.5N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 28.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 92.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN