Hurricane Harvey

Forecast Advisory 35



202
WTNT25 KNHC 290236
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 80.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 80.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 80.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N 77.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.9N 73.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.0N 69.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 40.5N 64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.8N 53.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 360SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 48.5N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 53.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 80.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




256
WTNT24 KNHC 290244
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MESQUITE BAY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HARVEY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 95.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 95.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 95.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.1N 95.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.5N 94.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.5N 94.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.7N 93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.4N 91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 35.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 38.0N 86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 95.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN