Hurricane Harvey

Forecast Advisory 36



313
WTNT25 KNHC 290858
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
TO LITTLE RIVER INLET.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO LITTLE RIVER INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 78.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 78.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 79.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.4N 76.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 38.0N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.5N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 330SE 270SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 330SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 50.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 55.0N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 78.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




457
WTNT24 KNHC 290858
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MESQUITE BAY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HARVEY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 94.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 94.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 95.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.3N 94.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.8N 93.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.9N 93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 31.1N 92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.7N 90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 36.0N 87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 37.5N 83.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 94.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH