Hurricane Harvey
Forecast Advisory 37
268
WTNT25 KNHC 291436
TCMAT5
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF CAPE
LOOKOUT...NORTH CAROLINA
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 77.2W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 77.2W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 77.8W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.6N 73.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 38.8N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 40.4N 63.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT...100NE 60SE 120SW 120NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...240NE 310SE 200SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 41.8N 58.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 180SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 420SE 350SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 45.8N 45.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 390SE 330SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 51.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 77.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
479
WTNT24 KNHC 291457
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO
GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PORT O'CONNOR TO MESQUITE BAY
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO GRAND ISLE
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY
CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 94.3W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 94.3W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 94.6W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.8N 94.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.8N 93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N 92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 32.0N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N 89.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 36.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 38.5N 81.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 94.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
