Hurricane Irma

Forecast Advisory 7



265
WTNT21 KNHC 010239
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 35.6W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 35.6W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 35.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.1N 37.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N 39.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.2N 41.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.7N 43.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.7N 48.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 16.3N 52.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 17.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 35.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY