Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 16
944
WTNT21 KNHC 030845
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 47.5W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 120SE 100SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 47.5W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 46.9W
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.5N 49.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.8N 51.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.5N 53.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N 55.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.8N 60.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 22.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 47.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
