Hurricane Irma

Forecast Advisory 28

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701
WTNT22 KNHC 060230
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF JOSE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 41.7W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 41.7W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 41.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.8N 43.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.5N 46.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.2N 49.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.9N 52.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.7N 57.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 50SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N 59.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N 62.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 41.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





909
WTNT21 KNHC 060234
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... ANGUILLA... MONTSERRAT... ST. KITTS... AND
NEVIS
* SABA... ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SINT MAARTEN
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO... VIEQUES... AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
* GUADELOUPE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CUBA FROM MATANZAS PROVINCE EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS
WELL AS CUBA... THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... AND FLORIDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 61.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 916 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE 90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 240SE 240SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 61.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.1N 63.1W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.1N 65.9W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.1N 68.5W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.0N 71.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.0N 76.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 23.2N 79.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 81.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 61.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





542
WTNT23 KNHC 060236
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 96.4W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 96.4W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 96.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 96.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.8N 95.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 95.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.2N 95.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.8N 95.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.4N 98.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 96.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE