Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 39
439
WTNT23 KNHC 082035
TCMAT3
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO
* SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO VERACRUZ
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 96.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 40SE 40SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 96.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 96.2W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.8N 97.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 96.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BANN
160
WTNT22 KNHC 082041
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST.
MARTIN AND BARTHELEMY.
THE GOVERNMENT OF SINT MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
SINT MAARTEN.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 58.3W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 80SE 50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 165SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 58.3W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 57.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.3N 60.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.4N 61.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.9N 64.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.9N 68.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 28.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 58.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
728
WTNT21 KNHC 082055
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FOR EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA TO SEBASTIAN INLET... AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO SUWANNEE RIVER.
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF VENICE TO THE ANCLOTE
RIVER... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY... AND FROM PONCE INLET TO THE FLAGLER/
VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO VENICE
* FLORIDA KEYS
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF VENICE TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* TAMPA BAY
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI
SPIRITUS... AND
VILLA CLARA
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA... FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 76.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 180SE 60SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 76.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 76.0W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 78.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 79.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.1N 81.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N 81.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 190NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 35.0N 85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 35.6N 87.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 76.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA