Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 40
410
WTNT23 KNHC 090234
TCMAT3
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO
* SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO VERACRUZ
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 97.2W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 15NE 35SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 55SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 97.2W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 96.9W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.2N 97.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.7N 98.9W...DISSIPATED
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 97.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ROTH/LAMERS
197
WTNT22 KNHC 090242
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 80SE 50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..255NE 135SE 165SW 195NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 59.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 58.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 60.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.1N 62.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.7N 64.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N 66.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.3N 68.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 26.8N 68.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N 66.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 59.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
133
WTNT21 KNHC 090258
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE AND ON THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE AND ON THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER.
THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO SUWANEE RIVER.
THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO
INDIAN PASS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCE OF MATANZAS TO A HURRICANE WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD
DE LA HABANA. THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
GUANTANAMO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* FLORIDA KEYS
* TAMPA BAY
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA
COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI
SPIRITUS... VILLA CLARA... AND MATANZAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND RAGGED ISLAND
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* NORTH AND WEST OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS... LA HABANA... AND
CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA... FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 77.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 924 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 77.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 77.2W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.6N 79.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 90SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.3N 80.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.5N 81.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE 120SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.5N 81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 140SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.6N 83.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 35.0N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 35.5N 87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 77.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
