Hurricane Irma
Forecast Advisory 50
731
WTNT22 KNHC 111446
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 69.1W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 69.1W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 69.1W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.6N 69.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.1N 68.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.6N 67.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.7N 66.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 10NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.1N 67.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 10NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.6N 70.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 26.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 69.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
373
WTNT21 KNHC 111450
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM THE
VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE SOUTHWARD.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF ANCLOTE
RIVER.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
* TAMPA BAY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 83.1W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 230SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 360SE 450SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 83.1W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 82.7W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 32.0N 84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.9N 86.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.0N 88.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 83.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
