Hurricane Irma

Forecast Advisory 52

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607
WTNT21 KNHC 120231
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL STORM SURGE WARNINGS AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRMA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 84.9W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 570SE 360SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 84.9W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 84.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.8N 86.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.2N 88.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.4N 88.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 84.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER
WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

$$
FORECASTER BERG





540
WTNT22 KNHC 120244
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 69.5W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 69.5W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 69.7W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.1N 67.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.4N 66.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.3N 68.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 27.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 29.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 69.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD