Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 6



779
WTNT22 KNHC 062035
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 45.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 45.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 45.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.1N 51.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N 54.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.4N 56.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 60.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 63.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 45.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY




866
WTNT23 KNHC 062053
TCMAT3

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF THE STATE OF VERACRUZ FROM TUXPAN TO LAGUNA VERDE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TUXPAN TO LAGUNA VERDE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 95.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 95.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 95.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 94.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.3N 94.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 55SE 70SW 65NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.1N 95.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.9N 95.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N 98.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 95.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




293
WTNT21 KNHC 062054
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND... THE EXUMAS... LONG
ISLAND... RUM CAY... AND SAN SALVADOR. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING THE ABACOS...
ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI... ELEUTHERA... GRAND
BAHAMA ISLAND... AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO... VIEQUES... AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBA FROM MATANZAS PROVINCE EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
* CUBA PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS WELL
AS CUBA... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 65.4W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 914 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 90SE 60SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 65.4W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 64.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.6W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.7N 70.4W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 73.1W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.2N 75.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.2N 79.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N 80.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN